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The Struggle to Curtail Global Warming

Sherman, D.J., Li, B., Quiring, S.M. and Farrell, E.J. 2010. Benchmarking the war against global warming. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 100: 1013-1024.
The four academics from Texas A & M University's Department of Geography who authored this study began by using the HadCRUT3 reconstruction of the instrumental global temperature record for the period 1850 through 2008, in order to derive the rate of global atmospheric temperature change over the last 30 years -- which they refer to as the earth's thermal "baseline condition" -- after which they derived "empirical estimates of annual variability (noise) for every 30-year trend (signal) of that record." And then, after selecting seven model-based temperature trend simulations through the end of the 21st century, which had been produced for different anthropogenic CO2 emission scenarios by different research groups using different climate models, they finally estimated "how long it might be before those trends become statistically distinct from the current trend."

In performing these operations, Sherman et al. (2010) determined that "it will probably be decades before distinct changes from the current [30-year baseline] warming rate become apparent," and they stated, therefore, that "we should expect decades to pass before impacts of the war against global warming become apparent."

So what are the implications they derive from this result? First of all, as they say in one place, the war against global warming "will require a sustained commitment to stringent climate control policies for periods of decades or longer." And as they say in another place, that war "will require unprecedented social, political, and economic commitments."

Think about these statements. Without obtaining any empirical evidence -- over a period of decades or longer -- that the planet is even inching towards the catastrophic climatic future the world's climate alarmists are predicting, we will be asked to endorse -- or, perhaps more accurately, ordered to obey -- a host of rules and regulations that pertain to a number of unprecedented "social, political, and economic" commitments, which will be imposed on the planet's global population, but with an emphasis placed upon those people living in countries with the economic and technical capacity to produce and use greater amounts of fossil fuel-derived energy.

Yes, the world's climate alarmists desire all mankind to place blind faith in the predictions of their climate models, and to do so for generations to come, and without any empirical evidence for the validity of their predictions, forcing us to adhere to liberty-destroying edicts, without any means of ever calling them into question.

Does that sound wise to you?

Archived 8 February 2011