How Best to "Weatherproof" Earth's Corals Against Warming-Induced Bleaching
Wooldridge, S.A. and Done, T.J. 2009. Improved water quality can ameliorate effects of climate change on corals. Ecological Applications 19: 1492-1499.
In a study that addresses such concerns, Wooldridge (2009a) developed an hypothesis that suggests that reduced dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) content in seawater surrounding reefs could "directly benefit corals by enhancing their resistance to heat stress, i.e., raising the temperature thresholds that trigger bleaching," while Wooldridge and Done (2009) investigated the implications of this suggestion "at the scale of sea-scapes and regions on [Australia's] Great Barrier Reef [GBR]," where they say "the coastal waters are highly 'DIN enriched' as a consequence of a century and a half of European settlement of north Queensland." More specifically, they say they "used a spatially explicit Bayesian belief network (BBN) model (Pearl 1988; Woldridge and Done, 2004) to investigate the benefits of inclusion of DIN in explaining and predicting variability in complex patterns of coral bleaching documented on the GBR in 1998 and 2002."
In conducting their study, the two researchers from the Australian Institute of Marine Science found that "corals bathed in nutrient-rich coastal waters had a decreased bleaching resistance (per degree of heating) during the 1998 and 2002 bleaching events compared to reefs in oligotrophic oceanic waters, effectively lowering the upper thermal bleaching threshold by ~1.0-1.5°C," while they report that one of them (Wooldridge, 2009b) further found that "a complementary investigation suggests these figures could be as much as 2.0-2.5°C in the most DIN-enriched locations." As a result, Woldridge and Done state that "the new conceptual picture that emerges from this paper is of the fundamental importance of nutrient loading, in particular DIN, in defining the bleaching resistance of corals to heat stress," adding that "coral reef resilience to climate change may be improved by good local management of coral reefs, including management of water quality."
Idso, S.B., Idso, C.D. and Idso, K.E. 2000. CO2, global warming and coral reefs: Prospects for the future. Technology 75S: 71-93.
Pearl, J. 1988. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, San Francisco, California, USA.
Wooldridge, S.A. 2009a. A new conceptual model for the warm-water breakdown of the coral-algal endosymbiosis. Marine and Freshwater Research 60: 483-496.
Wooldridge, S.A. 2009b. Water quality and coral bleaching thresholds: formalizing the linkage for the inshore reefs of the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Marine Pollution Bulletin 58: 745-751.
Wooldridge, S.A. and Done, T.J. 2004. Learning to predict large-scale coral bleaching from past events: A Bayesian approach using remotely sensed data, in-situ data, and environmental proxies. Coral Reefs 23: 96-108.